Asia ex-Japan Equities 3Q24: Weakness not Perennial
Asia - poised to soar to new heights
Chief Investment Office28 Jun 2024
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Asia's economic growth forecast upgraded to 4.5% due to upward revision for China, strong growth in India, and robust private consumption across the region. The improving outlook augurs well for corporate profitability with the region poised to register earnings growth of 16% in 2024 and become a major driver of global economic growth over the next five years

  • AxJ equities set to outperform in 2024, China expected to contribute 21% to global economic growth in the next half a decade
  • We maintain an overweight view on Asia due to cheap valuation, improving cash flow, quality balance sheets, and positive earnings outlook
  • China equities listed in Hong Kong deliver more than 30% returns as sentiments rebound, policy outlook turning favourable
  • Anticipation of sustained long-term growth in ASEAN, mitigation of domestic weakness by resilient US economy, and recovery of China equity market support ASEAN markets
  • Vietnam a standout among ASEAN markets and set to join the ranks of the others in growth and size; domestic sentiment to boost India’s market returns

Figure 1: Asia - Quality and growth outperformed value


Source: Bloomberg, DBS


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