Equities Weekly: DM Equities - Markets dip on weak sentiment, weak earnings
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Chief Investment Office25 Jan 2023
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US and Europe trade lower on weaker sentiments and mixed earnings. US and Europe equities fell last week as concerns on recession and rate hikes continue to plague investors. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 were down 2.7% and 0.7% respectively for the week, while the Stoxx 600 and FTSE 100 slid 0.1% and 0.9% in the same period. The Nasdaq composite managed to claw its way back into green (+0.6%) after a strong showing on Friday. On a YTD basis, all indices aforementioned are positive. On the earnings front, Microsoft posted a beat on earnings (estimates USD2.30 vs actual USD2.32) in the latest quarter, however warnings of a slowdown in its cloud computing business, specifically in corporate software sales, saw its share price slide. To combat this slower growth outlook, Microsoft will look to cut expenses relating to staff and real estate and invest in long-term opportunities. The company announced that it plans to invest USD10b in OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, in the coming years.

Equity fund flows:  Emerging Markets (EM) and China continue to see inflows on anticipated economic rebound. EM equities notched a huge week with over USD10b of inflows during the period. This was primarily due to China Equity Funds, which saw its largest inflows in 51 weeks, and EM Equity Funds, which had its best showing since February 2021. Japan equities saw inflows for the 7th consecutive week albeit at modest levels (USD32m for week ended 18 January). On the Developed Markets (DM) front, Europe broke its 48-week redemption streak, but that was insufficient to stop DM Equity Funds from posting their 6th outflow in the past 9 weeks; US saw redemptions for the third straight week. On a 3-month moving average basis, DM redemptions are gaining momentum, buoyed by outflows from the US as earnings misses and rising recession fears weigh on risk sentiments.

Figure 1: 3-month moving average weekly equity fund flows by region


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